RI
Rapid7, Inc. (RPD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered modest top-line growth and strong profitability: Revenue $214.19M (+3% YoY), non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.58, adjusted EBITDA $42.65M, and free cash flow $42.28M . Against S&P Global consensus, Rapid7 beat on revenue ($214.19M vs $212.06M*) and EPS ($0.58 vs $0.44*), reflecting disciplined execution and favorable bookings linearity .*
- ARR reached $840.61M (+3% YoY), with 11,643 customers and ARR/customer at $72.2K; detection & response remains the core growth engine, while Exposure Command upgrades are skewing to larger, longer-cycle platform deals .
- Guidance: FY25 ARR narrowed to $850–$865M (from $850–$880M), while FY25 non-GAAP EPS was raised to $1.90–$2.03 (from $1.78–$1.91); FY25 revenue and FCF maintained at prior ranges . Management cites extended cycles on higher ASP consolidation deals and prudent outlook into a back-half-weighted year .
- Catalysts: Launch of Incident Command (AI-native SIEM), FedRAMP Authorization for InsightGovCloud, new Chief Commercial Officer to accelerate go-to-market, and announced CFO retirement/transition; management emphasized platform integration, agentic AI differentiation, and enterprise MDR expansion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong profit and cash generation: non-GAAP operating income $36.35M, adjusted EBITDA $42.65M, FCF $42.28M; both revenue and profitability exceeded guided ranges . “Revenue and profitability were ahead of our outlook… strong free cash flow of $42,000,000” — Corey Thomas .
- Strategic wins and validation for platform: several “seven-figure” consolidation deals with higher ASPs, including a major UK retailer consolidating on the Command Platform and MDR-led solution; larger enterprise use cases gaining traction .
- Product momentum and differentiation: introduced Incident Command (AI-native SIEM), agentic AI embedded across SIEM/XDR/MDR, Active Patching via Automox, AWS Marketplace AI Agents availability; recognized as Leader in Frost Radar™ for MDR .
What Went Wrong
- Growth still subdued: ARR +3% YoY to $840.61M and total revenue +3% YoY; professional services revenue -23% YoY as lower-margin services are deemphasized .
- Non-GAAP operating margin down YoY to 17% (from 19%); GAAP operating margin 2% (from 3%), reflecting investments and mix .
- Customer count declined sequentially (11,643 in Q2 vs 11,685 in Q1) as legacy transactional customers churn while larger strategic customers are added; Exposure Command upgrades skew to larger/longer cycles, reducing near-term predictability .
Financial Results
Segment/geography breakdown:
KPIs:
Against S&P Global consensus (Q2 2025):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Management rationale: higher ASP consolidation deals with extended cycles, back-half weighted ARR, and prudence amid macro uncertainty; revenue/profitability ranges maintained given resilient D&R and strong cash generation .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We’re uniquely positioned to capitalize on the escalating customer demand to bring AI tools and capabilities into the SOC… We today have the products and the capabilities to win.” — Corey Thomas .
- “We won a number of meaningful consolidation opportunities at higher ASPs… signature seven figure wins… demonstrate clear market validation of our approach.” — Corey Thomas .
- “Operating discipline and flexibility… continues to serve us well… focused on delivering durable growth and expanding free cash flow over time.” — Tim Adams .
- “We are narrowing our full year ARR guidance… and maintaining our revenue, operating income, and free cash flow ranges… Q3 ending ARR ~ $840M with net new ARR heavily weighted to Q4.” — Tim Adams .
- “We’ve appointed Alan Peters as our new chief commercial officer… to accelerate our go-to-market efforts to capitalize on our unique product offerings.” — Corey Thomas .
Q&A Highlights
- MDR trajectory: Continued strong demand; enterprise MDR expansion now ingests “all data and workloads” at quality and scale, underpinned by proprietary AI; management investing in team/services/AI around MDR .
- ARR guide narrowing: Mix shift to larger, strategic consolidation deals with longer cycles and prudent stance in a volatile environment; many paths to achieve range, with seasonal back-end loading .
- Exposure Command GTM: Partner ecosystem ramping; upgrades skewing to strategic larger deals vs original expectation of small-dollar 10–20% uplifts; higher ASPs but longer cycles .
- Incident Command differentiation: Easier data ingestion, integrated threat intel, out-of-the-box MITRE-aligned workflows; simplifies SOC work and enhances decision-making .
- Federal and India SOC: FedRAMP Authorization opens federal market with longer cycles and impact expected in 2026; India SOC capacity ramp in 2H, contributing to near-term opex dynamics .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $214.19M vs $212.06M*; non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.58 vs $0.44* — both beats .*
- Q3 2025 guidance vs consensus: Guidance revenue $215–$217M vs $216.15M*; guidance non-GAAP EPS $0.44–$0.47 vs $0.46* — broadly in line; execution on enterprise MDR and Exposure Command upgrades will determine outcome .*
- FY25 EPS raised (to $1.90–$2.03), suggesting consensus upward revisions near term; ARR narrowed implies sell-side may lower high-end assumptions and push more ARR to Q4 timing .*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Profitability and cash flow resilience: Strong non-GAAP OI, adjusted EBITDA, and FCF amid modest growth provide downside support while GTM and product investments scale .
- Beat-and-raise quarter on EPS with ARR prudence: Clear beat vs consensus on Q2 revenue/EPS and a raised FY25 EPS range, balanced by a narrowed ARR range due to longer-cycle, higher-ASP deals .*
- Platform consolidation narrative is gaining momentum: Incident Command and agentic AI, plus enterprise MDR and Exposure Command, are driving larger strategic wins; expect timing variability but higher LTV .
- Federal as medium-term optionality: FedRAMP Authorization expands TAM; expect impact skewed to 2026; capacity build underway .
- Near-term trading: Focus on Q3 conversion and any color on Q4 pipeline quality; watch for disclosure on enterprise MDR traction, Exposure Command upgrade velocity, and any GTM efficiency metrics .
- Medium-term thesis: Integrated, AI-driven SOC platform with MDR leadership and exposure management closed-loop remediation could accelerate growth as GTM is operationalized under new CCO .
- Monitor catalysts and risks: CFO transition, GTM build-out, macro scrutiny/extended cycles, and execution on large deals; revenue/FCF guidance maintained offers stability, while ARR/larger-deal mix introduces timing risk .